Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 13.365956 14.896454 16.549017 18.468926 20.641751 23.028697 25.855118
2025-08-03 10.939724 13.019227 15.434882 18.460686 22.166492 26.578861 32.262554
2025-08-10 9.146919 11.494793 14.394088 18.265315 23.340496 29.824673 38.827809
2025-08-17 7.800458 10.264909 13.470728 17.993868 24.287227 32.846031 45.559939
2025-08-24 6.806111 9.320620 12.743061 17.811917 25.248154 35.946704 52.850787
2025-08-31 6.061453 8.598314 12.192796 17.753233 26.311596 39.275918 60.967272
2025-09-07 5.590391 8.192102 12.018497 18.183793 28.113290 43.913343 71.853633
2025-09-14 5.061911 7.630223 11.532441 18.049443 28.976514 47.147962 80.935106
2025-09-21 4.561477 7.050647 10.943987 17.659046 29.336139 49.552896 88.924176
2025-09-28 4.182954 6.619757 10.536856 17.502581 30.044864 52.618443 98.604518
2025-10-05 4.001585 6.486931 10.595559 18.135851 32.212801 58.598646 114.972675
2025-10-12 3.832452 6.354728 10.635958 18.731544 34.376702 64.871921 133.115683
2025-10-19 3.614837 6.124977 10.495047 19.001045 36.001827 70.435805 151.113855
2025-10-26 3.346826 5.781833 10.118825 18.783994 36.641259 74.104798 165.689698
2025-11-02 3.095258 5.445114 9.720951 18.477318 37.054713 77.361961 180.019930
2025-11-09 2.867248 5.131053 9.334515 18.146978 37.370305 80.451162 194.625915
2025-11-16 2.676606 4.870090 9.023969 17.934551 37.910427 84.135044 211.603132
2025-11-23 2.519947 4.660281 8.792703 17.860358 38.747528 88.653114 231.889904
2025-11-30 2.429907 4.572078 8.794122 18.285696 40.797044 96.480664 263.444018
2025-12-07 2.290724 4.374153 8.553359 18.146257 41.478821 100.959461 286.277815
2025-12-14 2.139692 4.140062 8.216629 17.751336 41.478526 103.650138 304.297762
2025-12-21 2.022917 3.967000 7.993218 17.592819 42.049213 107.977031 328.696393
2025-12-28 1.982058 3.948976 8.100942 18.229131 44.766892 118.790832 377.892455